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BALL

BallA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed broad operating momentum, with shipment growth and double-digit comparable EPS growth, while management maintained its 2026 EPS, free-cash-flow, and capital-return objectives. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.8.
What can break
Execution risk remains because North and Central America comparable operating earnings declined year over year.
Momentum
82
Value
57
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $70.00 · Bull $80.00 · Bear $54.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $72.25
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d +18.2
Value57 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -2.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution risk remains because North and Central America comparable operating earnings declined year over year.
  • • Failure to deliver more than 10% comparable EPS growth or over $900 million of free cash flow would undermine the 2026 outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • The release does not provide a verified consensus comparison, and post-print analyst estimate or target revisions were unavailable.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 execution was strong

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
82
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+18.2
Δ21d
+30.6
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-2.2
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.8
Δ21d
-27.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 82.3 / Value 57.4 / Sentiment 60.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$17.06B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
264.7M
P/E (TTM)
21.0
P/S (TTM)
1.14
P/FCF (TTM)
88.42
Rev YoY
+22.4%
EPS YoY
+8.4%
Gross Margin
+15.2%
Op Margin
+11.5%
Net Debt
$6.15B
Current Ratio
1.07
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data