B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
BAK
Braskem n-vtg PfdBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary-source releases show Braskem still advancing self-help levers: free-gas migration, a potential Rio capacity project, and bio-based product expansion. If those actions convert into steadier margins and cash generation, the equity could recover from a depressed base [#PR-2025-09-19] [#PR-2025-10-24].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Cash generation has been inconsistent against a still-large debt load, limiting flexibility if the cycle stays weak [#PR-2025-05-13] [#PR-2025-11-11].
Momentum
19
Value
45
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.10 · Bull $5.40 · Bear $2.70Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.13
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -
Value45 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cash generation has been inconsistent against a still-large debt load, limiting flexibility if the cycle stays weak [#PR-2025-05-13] [#PR-2025-11-11].
- • Prolonged weakness in global petrochemical spreads and demand remains the core operating risk [#PR-2025-02-27] [#PR-2025-11-11].
- • The company is still operating through a prolonged petrochemical downturn, with weak spreads, uneven cash generation, and meaningful execution dependencies around financing and contracts.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Rio expansion de-risking via ethane contract, financing, and policy support
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+4.3
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 19.4 / Value 44.8 / Sentiment 84.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$4.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$720.96M
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
172.53M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.9
P/S (TTM)
0.08
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.97
Rev YoY
+36.4%
EPS YoY
-1496.5%
Gross Margin
+9.2%
Op Margin
+0.8%
Net Debt
$10.85B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data