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BAH

Booz Allen HamiltonA
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q1 adjusted profitability, cash generation, funding improvement, backlog and national-security demand support the long-term thesis. The company reaffirmed FY27 guidance and has continued to invest in cyber, defense technology and AI-native offerings.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.
What can break
Acquisition and defense-technology investments may create execution or integration risk.
Momentum
60
Value
64
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $84.50 · Bull $92.00 · Bear $62.00Analysis 2026-07-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $85.15
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -6.6
Value64 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +8.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition and defense-technology investments may create execution or integration risk.
  • • Civil revenue deterioration may persist longer than management expects.
  • • The headline revenue decline remains significant, civil revenue fell sharply and another sequential double-digit civil decline is expected in Q2.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-24

Q1 profitability beat supports near-term sentiment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-5.0
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
+8.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 60.4 / Value 64.2 / Sentiment 78.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$84.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.02B
Beta
0.33
Shares Out
120.29M
P/E (TTM)
13.6
P/S (TTM)
0.93
P/FCF (TTM)
19.85
Rev YoY
-4.2%
EPS YoY
-24.5%
Gross Margin
+20.9%
Op Margin
+9.7%
Net Debt
$3.39B
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data