BABA
Alibaba GroupDNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The bull case is that the May 13 earnings release reinforced a real AI monetization path: cloud growth accelerated, AI-related revenue remained triple-digit, and core China commerce showed better customer-management revenue, membership scale, and quick-commerce unit-economics commentary despite heavy investment.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: China's Alibaba bans Anthropic AI for employees after 'distillation attack' accusation.
What can break
Adjusted EBITA fell 84% year over year in the March quarter, showing that AI, cloud infrastructure, Qwen user acquisition, and quick-commerce investment are overwhelming near-term profit growth.
Momentum
10
Value
47
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $148.00 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $108.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $190.33
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d +3.2
Value47 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -7.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
+3.6
Value
47
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-3.2
Sentiment
60
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.0
Δ21d
-27.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 9.5 / Value 46.9 / Sentiment 59.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$271.01B
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
2.4B
P/E (TTM)
20.9
P/S (TTM)
2.57
P/FCF (TTM)
986.19
Rev YoY
+8.2%
EPS YoY
+115.2%
Gross Margin
+39.3%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
-$11.18B
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology