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B

Barrick MiningB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 company-reported execution included gold production above guidance, stronger operating and free cash flow, unchanged 2026 guidance, and planned capital returns. A Q2 print that confirms sequential production improvement and guidance could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
15 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Production, cost, or ramp-up execution could weaken despite the Q1 improvement.
Momentum
83
Value
69
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
15 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $53.34 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $52.31
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d -1.5
Value69 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +2.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 15 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Production, cost, or ramp-up execution could weaken despite the Q1 improvement.
  • • Q2 results could miss expectations or prompt a 2026 guidance revision.
  • • Evidence quality is very low and uncertainty is high.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 2026 results and management webcast

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
+19.7
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.3
Sentiment
56
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
-3.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 83.4 / Value 69.1 / Sentiment 55.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$53.34
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$69.96B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
1.65B
P/E (TTM)
22.0
P/S (TTM)
5.29
P/FCF (TTM)
38.95
Rev YoY
+44.6%
EPS YoY
+54.6%
Gross Margin
+53.2%
Op Margin
+52.2%
Net Debt
-$2B
Current Ratio
3.01
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data