B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3,600.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AZO
AutoZoneCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The EPS beat, improving late-Q4 sales, 8.6% commercial-sales growth and Mega Hub expansion leave room for recovery if sales gains translate into operating leverage. Management expects fiscal-2027 sales acceleration, but has not quantified it in the checked release.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Domestic comparable-sales growth slowed to 1.6% from 4.8% a year earlier; late-quarter improvement may not persist. [#PR-AZO-2026-09-22]
Momentum
69
Value
51
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3,000.00 · Bull $3,600.00 · Bear $2,350.00Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3,709.09
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +15.5
Value51 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -1.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Domestic comparable-sales growth slowed to 1.6% from 4.8% a year earlier; late-quarter improvement may not persist. [#PR-AZO-2026-09-22]
- • Inventory rose 10.1% while growth spending drove operating-expense deleverage, raising the hurdle for returns on new stores and Mega Hubs. [#PR-AZO-2026-09-22]
- • Revenue missed the cited consensus despite the EPS beat.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-22
Mixed fiscal Q4 earnings
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+15.5
Δ21d
+12.9
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-24.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 69.5 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 47.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$3,000.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2,350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$52.25B
Beta
0.41
Shares Out
16.33M
P/E (TTM)
22.8
P/S (TTM)
2.81
P/FCF (TTM)
29.19
Rev YoY
+8.4%
EPS YoY
+7.7%
Gross Margin
+51.8%
Op Margin
+18.0%
Net Debt
$12.29B
Current Ratio
0.89
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data