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AYI

AcuityC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case is execution-led: Q2 showed sales, margin, EPS, and cash-flow improvement, AIS growth is absorbing QSC, and the new revolver supports flexibility for repurchases, dividends, or selective M&A.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
What can break
AIS growth benefited from an additional month of QSC performance, so the pace of organic momentum and integration synergies needs confirmation over the next few quarters [#10-Q-2026-04-02].
Momentum
62
Value
64
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $300.00 · Bull $335.00 · Bear $235.00Analysis 2026-05-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $401.33
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d -23.1
Value64 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment51 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AIS growth benefited from an additional month of QSC performance, so the pace of organic momentum and integration synergies needs confirmation over the next few quarters [#10-Q-2026-04-02].
  • • Core ABL sales declined 2.8% YoY in Q2 even as total company sales rose, leaving the legacy lighting franchise as the main execution watch item [#10-Q-2026-04-02].
  • • Bear case is that the upside depends on continued margin discipline while ABL remains soft, AIS growth is partly acquisition-inflated, and the covenant framework could matter if demand stalls or leverage rises.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-02

Q2 fiscal 2026 beat: sales, margin, EPS and cash flow [#10-Q-2026-04-02]

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
62
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.1
Δ21d
-5.5
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
51
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+8.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 62.5 / Value 63.8 / Sentiment 51.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$335.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.79B
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
29.94M
P/E (TTM)
30.1
P/S (TTM)
2.65
P/FCF (TTM)
22.51
Rev YoY
+1.6%
EPS YoY
+46.1%
Gross Margin
+47.1%
Op Margin
+14.7%
Net Debt
$581.9M
Current Ratio
2.05
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data