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AXTI

AXTF
Nasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 finally showed a real operating turn: revenue and gross margin improved sharply, losses narrowed, and management now has unusually large funding to expand InP capacity into AI optical demand. The market reaction appears to be paying for future bottleneck value rather than current earnings power.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +22.8.
What can break
AXT's manufacturing and supply chain concentration in China leaves results exposed to tariffs, trade-policy shifts, and geopolitical tension [#10-K-2026-03-17].
Momentum
4
Value
35
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $74.00 · Bull $115.00 · Bear $48.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $96.50
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -3.9
Value35 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +22.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-81.1
Value
35
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
72
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+22.8
Δ21d
+48.9
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 3.5 / Value 35.0 / Sentiment 72.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$3.19B
Beta
1.96
Shares Out
65.42M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-100.1
P/S (TTM)
10.00
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-83.31
Rev YoY
+39.1%
EPS YoY
-84.6%
Gross Margin
+21.3%
Op Margin
-26.9%
Net Debt
-$58.35M
Current Ratio
2.59
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology