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AXS

Axis CapitalC
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 gross premiums written rose 6% year over year to $2.7 billion, book value per diluted common share rose about 15% year over year, and annualized operating ROE was 14.3%. Durable insurance margins and book-value growth could support modest upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Management described an evolving risk landscape and transitioning market conditions; adverse claims or pricing changes could weaken underwriting returns. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
Momentum
40
Value
61
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $100.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $79.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $119.55
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d +8.0
Value61 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -3.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Management described an evolving risk landscape and transitioning market conditions; adverse claims or pricing changes could weaken underwriting returns. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
  • • Operating income and underwriting income declined year over year in Q2 despite premium and book-value growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
  • • Q2 operating income fell 19% and underwriting income fell 24% year over year despite higher GAAP net income.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Declared common dividend payment

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
+15.7
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-9.3
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-16.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 40.4 / Value 60.8 / Sentiment 52.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$79.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.49B
Beta
0.63
Shares Out
72.97M
P/E (TTM)
11.2
P/S (TTM)
1.74
P/FCF (TTM)
4.94
Rev YoY
+8.4%
EPS YoY
+24.1%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+20.4%
Net Debt
$172M
Current Ratio
0.70
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data