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AVY

Avery DennisonA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 result showed stronger organic growth, 19.4% adjusted EPS growth, margin expansion, and strong free cash flow, while full-year adjusted EPS guidance supports continued execution.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Avery Dennison faces direct competition from CCL Industries' Checkpoint business, 3M, and other specialty suppliers. [#10-K-2026-02-25]
Momentum
79
Value
59
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $195.00 · Bull $215.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $199.40
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -1.1
Value59 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -4.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Avery Dennison faces direct competition from CCL Industries' Checkpoint business, 3M, and other specialty suppliers. [#10-K-2026-02-25]
  • • Customer inventory stocking in Materials may reverse, reducing organic-growth momentum.
  • • Materials benefited from customer inventory stocking, and the durability of that demand is uncertain.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Materials Group leadership transition and growth mandate

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
79
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
+4.6
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.3
Δ21d
-16.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 78.5 / Value 58.7 / Sentiment 60.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$13.78B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
75.79M
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
1.59
P/FCF (TTM)
38.11
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+10.7%
Gross Margin
+29.0%
Op Margin
+13.3%
Net Debt
$3.7B
Current Ratio
1.13
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data