B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AVY
Avery DennisonBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 result showed stronger organic growth, 19.4% adjusted EPS growth, margin expansion, and strong free cash flow, while full-year adjusted EPS guidance supports continued execution.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.
What can break
Avery Dennison faces direct competition from CCL Industries' Checkpoint business, 3M, and other specialty suppliers. [#10-K-2026-02-25]
Momentum
53
Value
61
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $195.00 · Bull $215.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $201.80
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d -13.7
Value61 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +6.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Avery Dennison faces direct competition from CCL Industries' Checkpoint business, 3M, and other specialty suppliers. [#10-K-2026-02-25]
- • Customer inventory stocking in Materials may reverse, reducing organic-growth momentum.
- • Materials benefited from customer inventory stocking, and the durability of that demand is uncertain.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-04
Materials Group leadership transition and growth mandate
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.7
Δ21d
-15.1
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.5
Δ21d
+8.9
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 52.7 / Value 60.7 / Sentiment 71.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.39B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
75.79M
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
1.59
P/FCF (TTM)
38.11
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+10.7%
Gross Margin
+29.0%
Op Margin
+13.3%
Net Debt
$3.7B
Current Ratio
1.13
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data