AVO
Mission ProduceCNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Primary-source guidance argues Q2 was distorted by temporary April size mismatches, delayed California and Peru harvests, and deal costs; if Q3 EBITDA lands in the guided $28 million-$32 million range and Q4 shows initial Calavo synergies, the stock could re-rate toward the still-elevated external target backdrop despite the weak print [#SEC-8K-2026-06-08].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Cash fell to $33.0 million at April 30, 2026 from $64.8 million at October 31, 2025, while the Calavo deal added approximately $350 million of term-loan indebtedness, leaving less room for integration miscues [#SEC-8K-2026-06-08].
Momentum
79
Value
56
Sentiment
30
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $11.20 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $8.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $16.50
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +13.0
Value56 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment30 · Δ7d -4.1
So what
Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
79
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.0
Δ21d
+65.4
Value
56
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
30
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.1
Δ21d
-10.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 79.3 / Value 56.0 / Sentiment 29.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.2B
Beta
0.62
Shares Out
88.32M
P/E (TTM)
21.9
P/S (TTM)
0.59
P/FCF (TTM)
21.99
Rev YoY
-23.5%
EPS YoY
-332.7%
Gross Margin
+12.2%
Op Margin
+4.7%
Net Debt
$134.4M
Current Ratio
1.91
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

