B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$520.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AVGO
BroadcomCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 revenue grew 86% year over year, AI semiconductor revenue grew 221%, free cash flow reached $13.7B, and management guided to continued acceleration in Q4 [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02]. Several analysts raised targets after the print, including targets of $575-$600 reported by Benzinga.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.2.
What can break
AI growth is increasingly central to the thesis; weaker hyperscaler spending, customer concentration, supply constraints, or delayed deployments could impair the ramp.
Momentum
39
Value
53
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $410.00 · Bull $520.00 · Bear $300.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $538.47
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -3.3
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -11.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI growth is increasingly central to the thesis; weaker hyperscaler spending, customer concentration, supply constraints, or delayed deployments could impair the ramp.
- • Further mix shift toward AI accelerators and higher-memory-content products may pressure gross margin and operating leverage.
- • The Q4 revenue guide of $34.8B was below the approximately $35.03B estimate cited in post-earnings coverage, and the stock declined despite the earnings beat.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-02
Q3 FY2026 earnings beat, but softer Q4 guide
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+2.3
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.2
Δ21d
-6.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 39.5 / Value 53.1 / Sentiment 66.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$410.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.87T
Beta
1.22
Shares Out
4.76B
P/E (TTM)
72.1
P/S (TTM)
25.49
P/FCF (TTM)
103.24
Rev YoY
+47.9%
EPS YoY
+85.6%
Gross Margin
+65.7%
Op Margin
+44.1%
Net Debt
$48.96B
Current Ratio
2.24
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data