AUR
Aurora InnovationFNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
The bull case is that Aurora has crossed from technology validation into commercial scaling: it launched freight service in April 2025, reported that its latest software release tripled the driverless network to 10 routes, said capacity is committed through Q3 2026, and outlined a path to more than 200 driverless trucks by the end of 2026 [#PR-2026-02-11]. If the May 6 update and the Q2 no-observer launch checkpoint are met, the market could begin underwriting faster utilization and a clearer path to cash generation.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
What can break
Aurora explicitly says it may need additional capital to support development and commercialization at scale, leaving dilution risk live [#10-K-2026-02-11].
Momentum
53
Value
35
Sentiment
32
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.25 · Bull $7.25 · Bear $3.60
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.14
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d +2.4
Value35 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment32 · Δ7d -2.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
53
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
-21.1
Value
35
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
32
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.8
Δ21d
+3.5
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 52.9 / Value 35.3 / Sentiment 31.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$12.38B
Beta
2.48
Shares Out
1.96B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-14.2
P/S (TTM)
3861.07
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-18.47
Rev YoY
-100.0%
EPS YoY
-4.0%
Gross Margin
-1925.0%
Op Margin
-43100.0%
Net Debt
-$1.19B
Current Ratio
9.49
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

