AUR

Aurora InnovationF

Nasdaq / Software & Services

At close

2026-07-23

Current thesis

The bull case is that Aurora has crossed from technology validation into commercial scaling: it launched freight service in April 2025, reported that its latest software release tripled the driverless network to 10 routes, said capacity is committed through Q3 2026, and outlined a path to more than 200 driverless trucks by the end of 2026 [#PR-2026-02-11]. If the May 6 update and the Q2 no-observer launch checkpoint are met, the market could begin underwriting faster utilization and a clearer path to cash generation.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-29 · AMC.

What can break

Aurora explicitly says it may need additional capital to support development and commercialization at scale, leaving dilution risk live [#10-K-2026-02-11].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $5.25 · Bull $7.25 · Bear $3.60

Earnings

2026-07-29 · AMC

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-23

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-23

Supporting evidence

What

Grade F · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $11.14

Why

Momentum53 · Δ7d +6.2

Value35 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment35 · Δ7d -8.5

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+6.2

Δ21d

-15.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-8.5

Δ21d

+2.6

Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 53.3 / Value 35.3 / Sentiment 34.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-22

Market Cap

$12.96B

Beta

2.48

Shares Out

1.96B

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-14.9

P/S (TTM)

3861.07

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-19.34

Rev YoY

-100.0%

EPS YoY

-4.0%

Gross Margin

-1925.0%

Op Margin

-43100.0%

Net Debt

-$1.19B

Current Ratio

9.49

As of 2026-07-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology