B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AUNA
AunaANYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Revenue growth, improving cash generation, stable oncology MLR, higher procedures and 3.6x leverage support a recovery case if Mexico and Colombia margins normalize. The company also reaffirmed its 2026 revenue outlook.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA declined 9% FX-neutral and margin fell to 18.4%, with service mix, pharmacy, payroll, talent investment and Peru billing penalties weighing on profitability. [#PR-2026-08-18]
Momentum
31
Value
72
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.80 · Bull $7.50 · Bear $4.20Analysis 2026-08-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.66
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -1.7
Value72 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +2.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA declined 9% FX-neutral and margin fell to 18.4%, with service mix, pharmacy, payroll, talent investment and Peru billing penalties weighing on profitability. [#PR-2026-08-18]
- • Coverage is low, analyst target count is unavailable, and no post-print analyst estimate or target revisions were verified.
- • The earnings follow-up is more cautious than the prior positive baseline: EBITDA declined despite strong revenue growth, net income fell sharply, and Peru billing penalties plus Mexico and Colombia cost pressure may persist.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-18
Mixed 2Q26 print reset the thesis
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+12.0
Value
72
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+10.9
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
-1.2
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 31.4 / Value 72.2 / Sentiment 75.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$398.19M
Beta
-
Shares Out
74.01M
P/E (TTM)
6.5
P/S (TTM)
0.28
P/FCF (TTM)
2.57
Rev YoY
+23.4%
EPS YoY
-79.8%
Gross Margin
+37.9%
Op Margin
+13.2%
Net Debt
$987.14M
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data