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AUGO

Aura MineralsD
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected production, successful permitting/expansion and a sustained commodity upcycle lift cash flows and drive a re-rating toward the upper analyst range (modeled bull_target = 76.4).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.
What can break
Commodity price weakness (gold/copper)
Momentum
93
Value
48
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $50.40 · Bull $76.40 · Bear $25.46Analysis 2026-01-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $102.97
Why
Momentum93 · Δ7d +2.2
Value48 · Δ7d +1.6
Sentiment35 · Δ7d +8.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commodity price weakness (gold/copper)
  • • Geopolitical/regulatory changes in operating jurisdictions
  • • Weaker metals prices, execution failures or permit delays trigger multiple compression and downside toward the low analyst scenario (bear_target = 25.46).

Catalyst clock

2026-04-20

Q4 / FY2025 production results and 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
93
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
+2.8
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
35
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+0.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 93.1 / Value 48.4 / Sentiment 34.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$50.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.46
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$6.54B
Beta
0.30
Shares Out
83.79M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-77.0
P/S (TTM)
5.68
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-215.42
Rev YoY
+76.4%
EPS YoY
+2269.8%
Gross Margin
+57.6%
Op Margin
+53.4%
Net Debt
$146.16M
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data