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AUGO

Aura MineralsD
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected production, successful permitting/expansion and a sustained commodity upcycle lift cash flows and drive a re-rating toward the upper analyst range (modeled bull_target = 76.4).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Commodity price weakness (gold/copper)
Momentum
98
Value
50
Sentiment
33
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $50.40 · Bull $76.40 · Bear $25.46Analysis 2026-01-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $98.47
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -0.3
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment33 · Δ7d -2.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commodity price weakness (gold/copper)
  • • Geopolitical/regulatory changes in operating jurisdictions
  • • Weaker metals prices, execution failures or permit delays trigger multiple compression and downside toward the low analyst scenario (bear_target = 25.46).

Catalyst clock

2026-04-20

Q4 / FY2025 production results and 2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+11.9
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
33
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
-6.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 98.1 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 32.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$50.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.46
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.58B
Beta
0.30
Shares Out
83.79M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-77.5
P/S (TTM)
5.68
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-216.72
Rev YoY
+76.4%
EPS YoY
+2269.8%
Gross Margin
+57.6%
Op Margin
+53.4%
Net Debt
$146.16M
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data