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AUB

Atlantic Union BanksharesC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Atlantic Union executes on loan growth and margin stability while maintaining credit quality; modest multiple expansion toward the high end of analyst targets (reflecting a $50 analyst high) leads to upside, particularly if share buybacks/dividends are continued.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.0.
What can break
Deal-related dilution or financing strain
Momentum
43
Value
46
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.00 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-02-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $45.63
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +1.1
Value46 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -8.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Deal-related dilution or financing strain
  • • Near-term earnings miss or weak guidance
  • • Weakening regional loan demand, margin compression, or a rise in credit losses could drive the stock toward the low end of analyst targets; limited liquidity or negative guidance would accelerate downside toward ~$34.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-08

Next quarterly earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+7.4
Value
46
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.0
Δ21d
-14.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 43.0 / Value 46.5 / Sentiment 59.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$5.58B
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
142.82M
P/E (TTM)
19.7
P/S (TTM)
4.27
P/FCF (TTM)
2.52
Rev YoY
-2.5%
EPS YoY
+835.6%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+31.5%
Net Debt
$1.39B
Current Ratio
0.07
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data