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AU

Anglogold AshantiC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q2 cash generation, guidance reaffirmation, net cash, dividends, and potential buybacks provide tangible shareholder-return support, while management expects improved second-half production.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Cost inflation, royalties, fuel, and foreign-exchange movements could compress margins if realized gold prices weaken.
Momentum
97
Value
57
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $117.29 · Bear $68.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $121.29
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d -1.4
Value57 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cost inflation, royalties, fuel, and foreign-exchange movements could compress margins if realized gold prices weaken.
  • • No verified post-print EPS or revenue surprise, analyst estimate revision, or rating-change evidence was located.
  • • The earnings benefit was helped by a 35% increase in average realized gold price, while costs remained exposed to royalties, fuel, inflation, and foreign exchange.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-31

Q2 earnings cash generation and guidance reaffirmation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
97
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
+17.9
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.6
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
-8.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 96.7 / Value 56.9 / Sentiment 50.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$117.29
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$50.3B
Beta
0.60
Shares Out
505.01M
P/E (TTM)
19.4
P/S (TTM)
5.21
P/FCF (TTM)
35.84
Rev YoY
+27.0%
EPS YoY
+49.3%
Gross Margin
+52.6%
Op Margin
+50.7%
Net Debt
-$647M
Current Ratio
2.71
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data