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Anglogold AshantiB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q2 cash generation, guidance reaffirmation, net cash, dividends, and potential buybacks provide tangible shareholder-return support, while management expects improved second-half production.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
What can break
Cost inflation, royalties, fuel, and foreign-exchange movements could compress margins if realized gold prices weaken.
Momentum
36
Value
59
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $117.29 · Bear $68.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $119.16
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -12.9
Value59 · Δ7d +2.1
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +12.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cost inflation, royalties, fuel, and foreign-exchange movements could compress margins if realized gold prices weaken.
  • • No verified post-print EPS or revenue surprise, analyst estimate revision, or rating-change evidence was located.
  • • The earnings benefit was helped by a 35% increase in average realized gold price, while costs remained exposed to royalties, fuel, inflation, and foreign exchange.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-31

Q2 earnings cash generation and guidance reaffirmation

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
36
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.9
Δ21d
-30.6
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+2.5
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.1
Δ21d
+7.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 36.1 / Value 58.8 / Sentiment 61.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$117.29
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$42.21B
Beta
0.60
Shares Out
505.01M
P/E (TTM)
19.4
P/S (TTM)
5.21
P/FCF (TTM)
35.84
Rev YoY
+27.0%
EPS YoY
+49.3%
Gross Margin
+52.6%
Op Margin
+50.7%
Net Debt
-$647M
Current Ratio
2.71
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data