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ATS

ATSB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Recovery in delayed awards and better backlog conversion, combined with realized cost savings and service growth, could support a margin rebound. The company reported 11% year-over-year service-revenue growth on its Q1 call.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.
What can break
Large customer awards may be delayed further or fail to convert into FY2027 revenue. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-06]
Momentum
26
Value
67
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $13.00Analysis 2026-10-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.26
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -0.3
Value67 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -4.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Large customer awards may be delayed further or fail to convert into FY2027 revenue. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-06]
  • • Q1 free cash flow was negative C$25.9 million; leverage of 2.9x was near the upper end of management’s 2.0x–3.0x FY2027 target range. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-06]
  • • Lower bookings and backlog, weaker GLP-1-related demand, delayed awards and uncertain restructuring benefits could keep growth and margins under pressure.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q1 FY2027 results reset expectations

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+5.3
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
-19.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 25.8 / Value 66.6 / Sentiment 54.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.86B
Beta
1.26
Shares Out
98.13M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
35.8
P/S (TTM)
1.46
P/FCF (TTM)
18.63
Rev YoY
-5.8%
EPS YoY
-101.3%
Gross Margin
+25.1%
Op Margin
+6.8%
Net Debt
$824.46M
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data