B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ATRO
AstronicsANasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record sales, bookings and backlog, a 19.8% adjusted EBITDA margin and raised 2026 revenue guidance support continued earnings growth if backlog converts as planned [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin could retreat if volume, pricing, productivity or mix benefits weaken.
Momentum
29
Value
51
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $72.00 · Bull $90.00 · Bear $55.00Analysis 2026-09-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.00
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d -7.5
Value51 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment83 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA margin could retreat if volume, pricing, productivity or mix benefits weaken.
- • Backlog may convert more slowly than expected or bookings may normalize after a record quarter.
- • The strong Q2 print has raised expectations, while bookings may be lumpy and execution now requires sustained backlog conversion and margins.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-11
Raised 2026 outlook after record Q2
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-7.5
Δ21d
-12.7
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
83
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+10.5
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 29.1 / Value 51.2 / Sentiment 83.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$2.57B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
43.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
72.2
P/S (TTM)
2.51
P/FCF (TTM)
41.24
Rev YoY
+27.0%
EPS YoY
+1987.0%
Gross Margin
+32.5%
Op Margin
+13.7%
Net Debt
$360.17M
Current Ratio
2.97
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data