B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ATRO
AstronicsANasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record aerospace sales, strong commercial-transport demand, record bookings and backlog, and sharply improved operating margins support continued earnings momentum [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
What can break
Backlog may convert unevenly because bookings are lumpy.
Momentum
87
Value
49
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $82.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $60.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $100.50
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +1.3
Value49 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment77 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog may convert unevenly because bookings are lumpy.
- • Margin expansion could normalize if volume, productivity, pricing, or program execution disappoints.
- • Bookings are lumpy, and recent margin expansion depends on sustained volume, productivity, pricing, and backlog conversion.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-11
Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
-3.3
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+3.8
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-6.3
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 87.2 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 77.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
42.94M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
112.5
P/S (TTM)
2.51
P/FCF (TTM)
41.24
Rev YoY
+27.0%
EPS YoY
+1987.0%
Gross Margin
+32.5%
Op Margin
+13.7%
Net Debt
$360.17M
Current Ratio
2.97
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data