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ATMU

Atmus FiltrationA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 sales, raised FY2026 guidance, pricing, higher volume, favorable currency, and Koch Filter integration support continued earnings growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance is vulnerable to materials, manufacturing, incentive, and integration costs.
Momentum
31
Value
62
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $55.00 · Bull $65.00 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-09-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $65.20
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +1.7
Value62 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment86 · Δ7d +7.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance is vulnerable to materials, manufacturing, incentive, and integration costs.
  • • Aftermarket demand is flat overall, while Middle East weakness and geopolitical disruption remain risks.
  • • Aftermarket demand was described as broadly flat, Middle East performance remained below expectations, and higher materials, manufacturing, incentive, and integration costs constrain margin expansion.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-09

Quarterly dividend payment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+12.4
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.9
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.9
Δ21d
+7.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 31.3 / Value 62.0 / Sentiment 86.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.17B
Beta
-
Shares Out
81.6M
P/E (TTM)
22.1
P/S (TTM)
2.51
P/FCF (TTM)
38.99
Rev YoY
+16.4%
EPS YoY
+8.0%
Gross Margin
+28.6%
Op Margin
+16.9%
Net Debt
$376.6M
Current Ratio
2.65
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data