B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ATI
ATIFNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued aerospace build-rate recovery and margin expansion from input-cost normalization; under this scenario ATI approaches the analyst high where specialty-alloy pricing and mix drive upside.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Cyclical downturn in aerospace and industrial demand
Momentum
91
Value
48
Sentiment
12
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $121.96 · Bull $145.95 · Bear $92.03Analysis 2026-02-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $257.90
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d -1.5
Value48 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment12 · Δ7d +0.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical downturn in aerospace and industrial demand
- • Trade policy or tariffs affecting exports and input sourcing
- • Bear case assumes a slowdown in industrial/aerospace demand and persistent raw-material cost pressure, compressing spreads and pushing the share toward analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-05
Next quarterly earnings release and guidance update
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
91
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
+1.3
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
12
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+8.6
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 90.8 / Value 47.7 / Sentiment 12.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$121.96
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$92.03
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$31.56B
Beta
1.02
Shares Out
136.17M
P/E (TTM)
38.7
P/S (TTM)
3.55
P/FCF (TTM)
35.33
Rev YoY
+10.6%
EPS YoY
+55.2%
Gross Margin
+23.5%
Op Margin
+16.0%
Net Debt
$1.44B
Current Ratio
2.33
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data