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ATI

ATIF
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued aerospace build-rate recovery and margin expansion from input-cost normalization; under this scenario ATI approaches the analyst high where specialty-alloy pricing and mix drive upside.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Cyclical downturn in aerospace and industrial demand
Momentum
57
Value
49
Sentiment
31
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $121.96 · Bull $145.95 · Bear $92.03Analysis 2026-02-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $252.00
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d +6.6
Value49 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment31 · Δ7d +13.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Bearish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cyclical downturn in aerospace and industrial demand
  • • Trade policy or tariffs affecting exports and input sourcing
  • • Bear case assumes a slowdown in industrial/aerospace demand and persistent raw-material cost pressure, compressing spreads and pushing the share toward analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Next quarterly earnings release and guidance update

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
57
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
+0.8
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
31
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.9
Δ21d
+12.3
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 56.8 / Value 48.8 / Sentiment 30.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$121.96
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$92.03
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$21.36B
Beta
1.02
Shares Out
136.17M
P/E (TTM)
38.7
P/S (TTM)
3.55
P/FCF (TTM)
35.33
Rev YoY
+10.6%
EPS YoY
+55.2%
Gross Margin
+23.5%
Op Margin
+16.0%
Net Debt
$1.44B
Current Ratio
2.33
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data