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ATHM

AutohomeD
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The adjusted EPS and revenue beats, substantial liquidity, completed buyback, new US$400 million authorization, and cost discipline can support the shares if dealer demand stabilizes and newer AI and automotive-service initiatives gain traction.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
What can break
A CFO open-market sale of 24,300 ordinary shares was reported on May 29. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-02]
Momentum
43
Value
37
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $21.70 · Bull $25.00 · Bear $18.50Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $21.52
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d -1.5
Value37 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A CFO open-market sale of 24,300 ordinary shares was reported on May 29. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-02]
  • • AI, offline retail, and used-car initiatives may require investment before producing material earnings diversification.
  • • Revenue fell about 32% year over year, adjusted net income fell about 42%, leads-generation revenue fell about 24%, and operating profit declined about 56%.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-23

Q2 earnings beat masked a sharp operating contraction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-18.2
Value
37
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-6.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 43.0 / Value 37.3 / Sentiment 60.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$21.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$2.39B
Beta
0.10
Shares Out
115.76M
P/E (TTM)
12.9
P/S (TTM)
2.97
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
-27.6%
EPS YoY
-31.4%
Gross Margin
+72.8%
Op Margin
+1.5%
Net Debt
-$2.75B
Current Ratio
6.75
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data