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ASIX

AdvansixC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sales growth, pricing actions, resilient Nylon Solutions and Chemical Intermediates performance, lower planned capex, and expected second-half cash-flow improvement could support a recovery if Plant Nutrients volume stabilizes.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.
What can break
Low analyst coverage and unavailable verified estimate or target revisions weaken forward confidence.
Momentum
47
Value
48
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $23.50 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.00
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d -13.0
Value48 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Low analyst coverage and unavailable verified estimate or target revisions weaken forward confidence.
  • • Negative free cash flow and plant turnaround costs could delay cash conversion.
  • • The Q2 print showed severe earnings compression: Plant Nutrients sales fell 16%, total volume declined 15%, adjusted EBITDA margin fell 600 basis points, and management expects Q3 domestic pricing pressure.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Q2 earnings-quality reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.0
Δ21d
+15.1
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
-4.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 46.8 / Value 47.8 / Sentiment 65.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$424.19M
Beta
1.72
Shares Out
27M
P/E (TTM)
8.7
P/S (TTM)
0.30
P/FCF (TTM)
45.15
Rev YoY
+2.7%
EPS YoY
-89.8%
Gross Margin
+5.6%
Op Margin
-0.6%
Net Debt
$362.93M
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data