B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ARTW
Art's-Way ManufacturingFNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Revenue recovery is broadening: livestock-oriented agricultural products are growing, Modular Buildings has strong backlog, and first-half operating income improved despite the non-repeat of prior-year tax-credit benefits [#SEC-8K-2026-07-10].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Finished-product inventory is elevated versus prior years, increasing working-capital and sell-through risk [#SEC-8K-2026-07-10].
Momentum
74
Value
47
Sentiment
30
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.30 · Bull $2.70 · Bear $1.70Analysis 2026-07-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d -
Value47 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment30 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Finished-product inventory is elevated versus prior years, increasing working-capital and sell-through risk [#SEC-8K-2026-07-10].
- • Gross-profit percentage declined for the first six months, and management cited steel and oil prices as potential further margin headwinds [#SEC-8K-2026-07-10].
- • The latest quarter showed weaker profit conversion, while sugar-beet demand is down, gross margins are under pressure, inventory is elevated, and future project conversion remains an expectation rather than realized revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-07-10].
Catalyst clock
2026-07-09
Q2 FY2026 sales growth confirmed, with mixed profit conversion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
74
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-6.9
Sentiment
30
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 74.0 / Value 47.2 / Sentiment 30.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$2.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.75M
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
5.2M
P/E (TTM)
5.8
P/S (TTM)
0.49
P/FCF (TTM)
19.69
Rev YoY
+23.9%
EPS YoY
-88.5%
Gross Margin
+24.2%
Op Margin
+1.5%
Net Debt
$6.4M
Current Ratio
2.17
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data