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ARRY

ArrayA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2's $2.5 billion orderbook, more than $500 million of quarterly new orders, and raised margin outlook provide a credible path to better earnings if projects convert as planned. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
AWM integration may not deliver sufficient benefits relative to approximately $165 million of closing cash consideration. [#8-K-2026-08-31]
Momentum
6
Value
67
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.30 · Bull $5.00 · Bear $2.20Analysis 2026-10-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.26
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d +1.0
Value67 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -4.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AWM integration may not deliver sufficient benefits relative to approximately $165 million of closing cash consideration. [#8-K-2026-08-31]
  • • Delayed utility-scale projects could defer conversion of awarded orders into revenue. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Q3 revenue guidance below Q2 actual revenue, project-timing risk, and the cash-funded AWM acquisition leave execution and return-on-investment questions.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

November 5 Q3 results test orderbook conversion

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
6
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.0
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 6.3 / Value 66.6 / Sentiment 65.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$3.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$485.12M
Beta
1.68
Shares Out
154.01M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.3
P/S (TTM)
1.03
P/FCF (TTM)
15.63
Rev YoY
-5.6%
EPS YoY
-70.9%
Gross Margin
+21.6%
Op Margin
+3.6%
Net Debt
$519.21M
Current Ratio
2.20
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data