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ARMK

AramarkD
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued margin recovery, successful contract wins and multiple expansion toward the high end of analyst targets, driven by operational leverage and enterprise-account growth.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
What can break
Large contract losses or delayed renewals
Momentum
78
Value
48
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.30 · Bull $51.45 · Bear $32.50Analysis 2026-01-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $69.37
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d -1.0
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment34 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Large contract losses or delayed renewals
  • • Macroeconomic slowdown reducing corporate/campus catering demand
  • • Bear case assumes weaker-than-expected contract renewals, margin pressure from labor/food inflation, and slower organic revenue growth leading to downside toward analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-02-28

FY2025 Q4 / Full-year earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+5.4
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
34
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
+6.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 78.3 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 34.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$51.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$44.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$32.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.29B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
263.63M
P/E (TTM)
31.1
P/S (TTM)
0.54
P/FCF (TTM)
31.08
Rev YoY
+9.3%
EPS YoY
+34.5%
Gross Margin
+5.9%
Op Margin
+4.4%
Net Debt
$4.77B
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data