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ARI

Apollo Commercial Real Estate FinanceB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
Primary sources support a tangible asset-value backstop: ARI completed the Athene sale, cited roughly $12.05 pro forma book value per share after closing, approved a $150 million buyback, and cut the management fee during the strategy review period, which together support a discount-to-book recovery argument if capital deployment is disciplined [#PR-2026-04-24] [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Book value per share declined from $12.14 in 4Q25 to $12.01 in 1Q26, limiting room for a clean rerating if redeployment or buybacks disappoint [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Momentum
60
Value
56
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.10 · Bull $12.30 · Bear $9.60
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.63
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d +0.3
Value56 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
60
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-4.5
Value
56
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
53
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
+8.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 60.4 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 52.5

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$1.43B
Beta
1.58
Shares Out
138.94M
P/E (TTM)
11.1
P/S (TTM)
1.88
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-14.79
Rev YoY
-13.9%
EPS YoY
+148.8%
Gross Margin
+37.0%
Op Margin
+15.9%
Net Debt
$6.07B
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology