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ARDT

Ardent HealthA
NYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Reaffirmed guidance and a higher IMPACT savings target could support earnings if contracting and cost actions offset softer volumes [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Failure to deliver at least $70 million of expected 2026 IMPACT savings would weaken the margin-support case [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Momentum
84
Value
70
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-10-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.67
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d -3.4
Value70 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -2.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to deliver at least $70 million of expected 2026 IMPACT savings would weaken the margin-support case [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • Sustained weakness in surgeries or admissions could overwhelm contracting and cost improvements [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • Lower surgeries and admissions threaten guidance execution, while the 2025 non-GAAP revision complicates historical comparisons even though GAAP statements and 2026 results were unchanged [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] [#8-K-2026-09-04].

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Scrutiny of revised 2025 non-GAAP measures

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
84
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
+17.8
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-14.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 83.7 / Value 70.5 / Sentiment 45.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$1.72B
Beta
-
Shares Out
141.05M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
12.6
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
5.74
Rev YoY
-1.4%
EPS YoY
-77.1%
Gross Margin
+14.8%
Op Margin
+4.0%
Net Debt
$1.61B
Current Ratio
2.10
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data