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APO

Apollo Global ManagementB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The constructive case is that Apollo can use the May 28 Bernstein appearance and subsequent disclosures to reinforce the scale of its alternative-asset platform, Athene-linked retirement services engine, and capital deployment opportunity. The median analyst target of about 159.3 remains above the 132.24 anchor price, but the packet does not include fresh target revisions or estimate changes to validate a stronger view.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.
What can break
Athene origination and capital deployment could slow or become less attractive if market or credit conditions weaken.
Momentum
22
Value
53
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $148.00 · Bull $170.00 · Bear $114.00Analysis 2026-05-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $148.80
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d +3.3
Value53 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Athene origination and capital deployment could slow or become less attractive if market or credit conditions weaken.
  • • Investment portfolio returns and spread economics remain sensitive to rates, asset prices, and credit-market volatility.
  • • The recent evidence is still more monitoring-oriented than confirmatory.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-28

Bernstein Strategic Decisions fireside chat provides a dated company update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
+0.2
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
74
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-12.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 21.8 / Value 53.1 / Sentiment 73.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$148.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$114.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$66.63B
Beta
1.57
Shares Out
590.54M
P/E (TTM)
22.1
P/S (TTM)
3.56
P/FCF (TTM)
66.41
Rev YoY
+62.7%
EPS YoY
+113.5%
Gross Margin
+60.4%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
-$1.38B
Current Ratio
0.11
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data