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ANF

Abercrombie FitchB
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 net sales increased 5%, Abercrombie-brand sales increased 8%, and management raised full-year sales and margin expectations while expanding planned repurchases [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26]. Sustained brand growth without tariff refunds could justify upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Approximately $100 million of Q2 tariff refunds lifted reported operating margin and EPS; repeatability is uncertain [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26].
Momentum
98
Value
61
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $155.00 · Bull $180.00 · Bear $108.00Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $165.82
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d +1.1
Value61 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately $100 million of Q2 tariff refunds lifted reported operating margin and EPS; repeatability is uncertain [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26].
  • • Flat Q2 comparable sales despite 5% net-sales growth may indicate limited underlying traffic or conversion improvement [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26].
  • • Q2 comparable sales were flat and about $100 million of tariff refunds boosted reported profitability [#SEC-8K-2026-08-26].

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Q3 test of raised FY2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
98
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-2.3
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-31.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 97.6 / Value 61.4 / Sentiment 46.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$6.61B
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
42.43M
P/E (TTM)
11.9
P/S (TTM)
1.10
P/FCF (TTM)
14.82
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
-7.4%
Gross Margin
+58.8%
Op Margin
+13.2%
Net Debt
$383.52M
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data