B+
Bull case
28%
Probability
Target price
$172.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ANET
Arista NetworksDNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary-source read is fundamentally constructive: Q1 growth re-accelerated, Q2 guidance moved higher, cash generation was very strong, and backlog-style obligations remain sizable [#8-K-2026-05-05] [#10-Q-2026-05-06]. If the post-earnings drop was mostly multiple compression rather than a demand break, the setup can improve into the next print.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Analyst post-print revision visibility is limited in the packet, so confidence in the durability of the initial market read should stay moderate rather than high.
Momentum
87
Value
49
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $155.00 · Bull $172.00 · Bear $118.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $248.86
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -2.2
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment38 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst post-print revision visibility is limited in the packet, so confidence in the durability of the initial market read should stay moderate rather than high.
- • Customer concentration remains material: two customers each represented more than 10% of annual revenue in each of the last three years [#10-K-2026-02-17].
- • The post-earnings reaction suggests investors wanted a larger outlook step-up.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-03
Q1 beat with raised Q2 outlook, but post-print reset shows expectations were higher
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
+4.0
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
38
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+1.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 86.5 / Value 48.8 / Sentiment 37.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
47%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$254.52B
Beta
1.42
Shares Out
1.26B
P/E (TTM)
52.2
P/S (TTM)
20.45
P/FCF (TTM)
42.70
Rev YoY
+37.7%
EPS YoY
+36.0%
Gross Margin
+63.0%
Op Margin
+43.1%
Net Debt
-$10.74B
Current Ratio
2.96
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data