B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$270.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AN
AutoNationBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
After-sales and CFS remain strong, wholesale parts and AutoNation Finance add diversification, and disciplined buybacks/acquisitions support per-share growth despite softer vehicle volumes.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
What can break
AutoNation Finance growth increases exposure to credit performance and funding conditions.
Momentum
15
Value
50
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $235.00 · Bull $270.00 · Bear $180.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-30 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $213.45
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +3.5
Value50 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment79 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AutoNation Finance growth increases exposure to credit performance and funding conditions.
- • Lower new- and used-vehicle volumes may continue to pressure revenue and same-store gross profit.
- • New and used same-store units declined 5% and 8%, new-vehicle gross profit per unit fell, revenue and same-store gross profit declined, and SG&A remains above the year-ago level.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-30 · BMO
Q2 earnings showed resilient earnings mix
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-1.7
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
79
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 15.4 / Value 50.0 / Sentiment 78.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.32B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
33.06M
P/E (TTM)
12.3
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-93.41
Rev YoY
-0.6%
EPS YoY
+138.8%
Gross Margin
+16.9%
Op Margin
+4.7%
Net Debt
$10.14B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data