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AMSC

American SuperconductorA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q1 revenue, orders above $130 million, backlog above $300 million, and cash of $153.1 million support a credible growth and operating-leverage case. Comtrafo and utility-related demand could expand AMSC’s addressable market if execution remains strong [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.
What can break
Analyst target breadth, estimate revisions, and rating changes are unavailable, limiting confidence in valuation and revision-based signals.
Momentum
29
Value
48
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $31.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $61.40
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d -4.7
Value48 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target breadth, estimate revisions, and rating changes are unavailable, limiting confidence in valuation and revision-based signals.
  • • Backlog may convert unevenly because of project timing, customer concentration, supplier dependence, or execution issues [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
  • • The Q1 result was mixed beneath the headline: non-GAAP net income of $7.6 million was below the prior $8.0 million-plus guide, while Q2 GAAP guidance is only above $1.0 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Mixed Q1 FY2026 earnings outcome

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.7
Δ21d
+8.0
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
80
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+11.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 29.4 / Value 48.5 / Sentiment 80.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.22B
Beta
2.98
Shares Out
48.44M
P/E (TTM)
89.3
P/S (TTM)
5.64
P/FCF (TTM)
78.95
Rev YoY
+30.0%
EPS YoY
+19.0%
Gross Margin
+27.8%
Op Margin
+4.4%
Net Debt
-$140.24M
Current Ratio
2.43
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data