B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AMRN
AmarinCNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Recordati-led international growth, early Europe and Asia commercialization, 48% U.S. IPE share, lower operating expenses and positive cash flow could support a rerating if sustained [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.1.
What can break
International demand growth may not translate into reported revenue as pricing, reimbursement, market access and adoption continue to build.
Momentum
13
Value
68
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.50 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-09-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.50
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d +4.2
Value68 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +13.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • International demand growth may not translate into reported revenue as pricing, reimbursement, market access and adoption continue to build.
- • Low coverage, unavailable analyst-target count and lack of direct operating peers limit external validation of the thesis.
- • Q2 total revenue declined 42% year over year, while U.S.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-04
Recordati-led international commercialization milestones
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
-25.9
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+10.2
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.1
Δ21d
+11.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 13.1 / Value 68.4 / Sentiment 62.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$294.24M
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
21M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-7.5
P/S (TTM)
1.24
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
18.82
Rev YoY
-42.6%
EPS YoY
-46.7%
Gross Margin
+40.4%
Op Margin
-12.9%
Net Debt
-$296.71M
Current Ratio
3.67
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data