B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AMKR
AmkorBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 sales rose 26% year over year to $1.898 billion, with record Computing and Automotive & Industrial revenue. The NVIDIA agreement, TSMC’s 10-year Arizona collaboration framework and customer-backed phase-two expansion improve the case for sustained advanced-packaging demand.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
What can break
Approximately $2.5–$3.0 billion of guided 2026 capital spending and a planned $12 billion Arizona campus increase financing and return-on-investment risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27] Amkor phase-two release
Momentum
11
Value
56
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $47.00 · Bull $58.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-10-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $76.82
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -6.4
Value56 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +8.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Approximately $2.5–$3.0 billion of guided 2026 capital spending and a planned $12 billion Arizona campus increase financing and return-on-investment risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27] Amkor phase-two release
- • Customer commitments and prepayments do not establish the timing, profitability or volume of future output. Amkor–NVIDIA release Amkor phase-two release
- • The larger campus could consume capital well before utilization and returns are visible.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-26 · AMC
October 26 results test the Q3 margin step-up
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.4
Δ21d
-33.3
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
68
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
-0.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 10.8 / Value 56.5 / Sentiment 67.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-16. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.76B
Beta
2.00
Shares Out
248.45M
P/E (TTM)
38.8
P/S (TTM)
1.84
P/FCF (TTM)
243.97
Rev YoY
+25.6%
EPS YoY
+216.5%
Gross Margin
+15.5%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
-$325.37M
Current Ratio
2.17
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data