B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AMKR
AmkorCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary sources support a constructive operating backdrop: record Q1 revenue, improved utilization, advanced-packaging program progress, Q2 revenue guidance above Q1, and $1.8 billion of cash plus short-term investments at March 31, 2026. [#8-K-2026-04-27]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.
What can break
Amkor remains exposed to end-market demand swings; if customer demand does not fill new capacity, gross profit and returns on investment can suffer. [#10-K-2026-02-20]
Momentum
15
Value
54
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $60.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $45.00Analysis 2026-05-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $78.55
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +5.2
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +3.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Amkor remains exposed to end-market demand swings; if customer demand does not fill new capacity, gross profit and returns on investment can suffer. [#10-K-2026-02-20]
- • Arizona facility execution and utilization risk against a 2026 capex plan of approximately $2.5-$3.0 billion. [#10-K-2026-02-20]
- • The setup is still constrained by very heavy 2026 capex tied to Arizona, added convert-related capital-structure complexity, and a deterministic prior that remains negative across 5d to 120d horizons.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
Q1 strength and Q2 guide now compete with convert-offering digestion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.2
Δ21d
+12.2
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-4.7
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+29.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 15.2 / Value 54.4 / Sentiment 71.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.23B
Beta
2.00
Shares Out
248.45M
P/E (TTM)
38.8
P/S (TTM)
1.84
P/FCF (TTM)
243.97
Rev YoY
+25.6%
EPS YoY
+216.5%
Gross Margin
+15.5%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
-$325.37M
Current Ratio
2.17
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data