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AMCX

AMC Global MediaF
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: streaming price increases and a still-meaningful 10.1 million subscriber base keep subscription revenue resilient enough to partly offset linear declines, while restructuring and cash generation improve operating leverage. If ad and affiliate pressure eases, the company could keep grinding toward steadier free cash flow.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Advertising revenue remains exposed to weak marketplace pricing and softer ratings.
Momentum
90
Value
73
Sentiment
9
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.80 · Bull $10.00 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-05-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.80
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d +0.4
Value73 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment9 · Δ7d +2.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Advertising revenue remains exposed to weak marketplace pricing and softer ratings.
  • • Linear subscriber declines in Domestic Operations continue to pressure affiliate revenue.
  • • Bear case: basic-subscriber losses continue, advertising pricing stays soft, program-rights amortization keeps content costs elevated, and the 2029 debt stack limits capital flexibility.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-08

Q1 2026 print was mixed, with streaming offsetting but not overcoming legacy pressure

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+1.7
Value
73
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
9
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
+1.0
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 89.8 / Value 73.3 / Sentiment 9.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$498.71M
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
41.25M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
6.0
P/S (TTM)
0.18
P/FCF (TTM)
1.53
Rev YoY
-8.8%
EPS YoY
-155.9%
Gross Margin
+44.5%
Op Margin
+7.7%
Net Debt
$1.35B
Current Ratio
1.76
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data