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AM

Antero MidstreamD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Steady or improving natural gas/NGL prices, stable distributions and modest multiple expansion drive upside; successful capital-markets activity or accretive M&A could push value above current levels but upside is limited absent clear idiosyncratic execution.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Adverse capital-markets conditions increasing refinancing costs
Momentum
31
Value
49
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.17 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $16.50Analysis 2026-02-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.00
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +10.8
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -0.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse capital-markets conditions increasing refinancing costs
  • • Distribution cut or guidance reduction
  • • Persistent weakness in commodity realizations or a distribution cut would compress cash flows and multiples, producing downside below analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Natural gas / NGL price swing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.8
Δ21d
+12.3
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-8.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 31.1 / Value 49.1 / Sentiment 53.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$19.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.9B
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
474.67M
P/E (TTM)
18.1
P/S (TTM)
7.15
P/FCF (TTM)
26.58
Rev YoY
+8.3%
EPS YoY
-7.8%
Gross Margin
+62.9%
Op Margin
+56.1%
Net Debt
$2.96B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data