RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

AM

Antero MidstreamD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Steady or improving natural gas/NGL prices, stable distributions and modest multiple expansion drive upside; successful capital-markets activity or accretive M&A could push value above current levels but upside is limited absent clear idiosyncratic execution.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.0.
What can break
Adverse capital-markets conditions increasing refinancing costs
Momentum
40
Value
49
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.17 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $16.50Analysis 2026-02-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.29
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d +10.2
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +3.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse capital-markets conditions increasing refinancing costs
  • • Distribution cut or guidance reduction
  • • Persistent weakness in commodity realizations or a distribution cut would compress cash flows and multiples, producing downside below analyst lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-14

Natural gas / NGL price swing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
40
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.2
Δ21d
-6.2
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-1.9
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 39.5 / Value 48.8 / Sentiment 54.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$19.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.51B
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
474.67M
P/E (TTM)
18.1
P/S (TTM)
7.15
P/FCF (TTM)
26.58
Rev YoY
+8.3%
EPS YoY
-7.8%
Gross Margin
+62.9%
Op Margin
+56.1%
Net Debt
$2.96B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data