B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$260.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ALX
Alexander'sDNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Recovery in property cash flows, successful lease renewals, or NAV recognition could re-rate shares toward the analyst high (260.84).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Concentrated Manhattan holdings and related liquidity risk
Momentum
50
Value
64
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $240.33 · Bull $260.84 · Bear $189.05Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $212.00
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d -
Value64 · Δ7d -
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Concentrated Manhattan holdings and related liquidity risk
- • Drop in NYC office/retail rents and NAV compression
- • Weaker NYC leasing, cap-rate expansion, or asset impairments could compress NAV and push valuation toward the analyst low (189.05).
Catalyst clock
2026-05-11
Quarterly earnings release
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
50
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 50.3 / Value 64.0 / Sentiment 46.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$240.33
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$189.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.36B
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
5.11M
P/E (TTM)
31.5
P/S (TTM)
5.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-21.02
Rev YoY
+6.1%
EPS YoY
+2437.2%
Gross Margin
+31.2%
Op Margin
+28.6%
Net Debt
$658.52M
Current Ratio
16.17
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data