B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$260.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ALX
Alexander'sBNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Recovery in property cash flows, successful lease renewals, or NAV recognition could re-rate shares toward the analyst high (260.84).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · BMO.
What can break
Concentrated Manhattan holdings and related liquidity risk
Momentum
50
Value
64
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $240.33 · Bull $260.84 · Bear $189.05Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-02 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $192.00
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d -
Value64 · Δ7d -
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Concentrated Manhattan holdings and related liquidity risk
- • Drop in NYC office/retail rents and NAV compression
- • Weaker NYC leasing, cap-rate expansion, or asset impairments could compress NAV and push valuation toward the analyst low (189.05).
Catalyst clock
2026-11-02 · BMO
Quarterly earnings release
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
50
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 50.3 / Value 64.0 / Sentiment 49.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$240.33
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$189.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$1.27B
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
5.11M
P/E (TTM)
31.5
P/S (TTM)
5.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-19.54
Rev YoY
+6.1%
EPS YoY
+2437.2%
Gross Margin
+31.2%
Op Margin
+28.6%
Net Debt
$658.52M
Current Ratio
16.17
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data