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ALV

AutolivA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 adjusted margin of 9.7% exceeded management's earlier indication, and India and Chinese-OEM sales remained strong. Meeting the 2026 cash-flow and margin targets could validate continued shareholder returns.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Consensus benchmarks disagree on whether Q3 adjusted EPS beat or missed; post-print analyst revisions have not been verified. Autoliv consensus Zacks earnings coverage
Momentum
70
Value
63
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $120.00 · Bull $137.00 · Bear $99.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $131.49
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d +27.9
Value63 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -6.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consensus benchmarks disagree on whether Q3 adjusted EPS beat or missed; post-print analyst revisions have not been verified. Autoliv consensus Zacks earnings coverage
  • • Q3 operating cash flow and free operating cash flow fell year over year, increasing the importance of Q4 cash conversion. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-23]
  • • Organic sales fell 1.1%, adjusted EPS declined year over year, and margin guidance moved to the bottom of the prior range.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30

Market digests mixed Q3 results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+27.9
Δ21d
+31.0
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.3
Δ21d
-12.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 69.6 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 62.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$137.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$99.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$8.35B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
72.01M
P/E (TTM)
12.8
P/S (TTM)
0.87
P/FCF (TTM)
26.87
Rev YoY
+3.3%
EPS YoY
-37.6%
Gross Margin
+19.2%
Op Margin
+10.0%
Net Debt
$1.71B
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data