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ALTG

Alta Equipment GroupD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If working-capital discipline holds and back-half equipment demand improves, Alta can keep shrinking leverage and prove the 2026 operating path embedded in the filing record. That would make the equity less of a balance-sheet story and more of a gradual earnings-recovery story.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.9.
What can break
Demand recovery is back-half weighted, so any slip in material-handling volumes would pressure the 2026 setup.
Momentum
19
Value
53
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.30 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $3.50Analysis 2026-05-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.80
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -8.7
Value53 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Demand recovery is back-half weighted, so any slip in material-handling volumes would pressure the 2026 setup.
  • • Leverage and preferred/common cash obligations leave little room for disappointment.
  • • If end-market demand stays soft or capital needs re-accelerate, leverage and preferred/common cash obligations can keep the stock trapped in a low-multiple, high-execution-risk range.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-07

Q1 2026 results were formally reset by the May 7 8-K

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.7
Δ21d
-67.8
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-14.7
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
+22.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 18.9 / Value 52.7 / Sentiment 53.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$229.32M
Beta
1.54
Shares Out
32.67M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.8
P/S (TTM)
0.10
P/FCF (TTM)
70.65
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
+21.4%
Gross Margin
+24.4%
Op Margin
+0.9%
Net Debt
$1.15B
Current Ratio
1.38
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data