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ALTG

Alta Equipment GroupD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If working-capital discipline holds and back-half equipment demand improves, Alta can keep shrinking leverage and prove the 2026 operating path embedded in the filing record. That would make the equity less of a balance-sheet story and more of a gradual earnings-recovery story.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Demand recovery is back-half weighted, so any slip in material-handling volumes would pressure the 2026 setup.
Momentum
74
Value
52
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.30 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $3.50Analysis 2026-05-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.80
Why
Momentum74 · Δ7d +5.6
Value52 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment36 · Δ7d -4.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Demand recovery is back-half weighted, so any slip in material-handling volumes would pressure the 2026 setup.
  • • Leverage and preferred/common cash obligations leave little room for disappointment.
  • • If end-market demand stays soft or capital needs re-accelerate, leverage and preferred/common cash obligations can keep the stock trapped in a low-multiple, high-execution-risk range.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-07

Q1 2026 results were formally reset by the May 7 8-K

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
74
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+13.4
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
36
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.3
Δ21d
-4.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 74.1 / Value 51.8 / Sentiment 36.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$221.48M
Beta
1.54
Shares Out
32.67M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.7
P/S (TTM)
0.10
P/FCF (TTM)
70.65
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
+21.4%
Gross Margin
+24.4%
Op Margin
+0.9%
Net Debt
$1.15B
Current Ratio
1.38
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data