ALRM
Alarm.comDNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 showed resilient double-digit SaaS growth, better adjusted profitability, stronger operating cash flow, and a modest full-year guide raise, which supports the prior cautious-positive thesis rather than a reset lower.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
Hardware and other revenue margin remains exposed to tariffs and supplier price increases, which the 10-Q said lifted hardware costs in Q1. [#10-Q-2026-05-07]
Momentum
23
Value
63
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $58.00 · Bear $41.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-05-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $58.00
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -6.0
Value63 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
23
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.0
Δ21d
-18.1
Value
63
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
60
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
+3.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 22.6 / Value 62.6 / Sentiment 60.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-05-29
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-05-29
Market Cap
$2.23B
Beta
0.79
Shares Out
49.88M
P/E (TTM)
21.8
P/S (TTM)
2.59
P/FCF (TTM)
16.78
Rev YoY
+6.6%
EPS YoY
-1.9%
Gross Margin
+66.0%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
-$237.22M
Current Ratio
2.06
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

