ALL

AllstateA

NYSE / Insurance

At close

2026-07-17

Current thesis

The bull case is that Allstate's Q1 2026 print confirmed durable underwriting improvement: adjusted EPS of $10.65, an 80.3 underlying combined ratio, lower catastrophe losses, 9.8% investment-income growth, and continued policy growth all argue for continued estimate drift higher [#SEC-8K-2026-04-29].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

What can break

Catastrophe losses and claims severity can reverse underwriting gains quickly.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $244.10 · Bull $270.00 · Bear $175.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-17

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-17

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $254.64

Why

Momentum69 · Δ7d -11.3

Value63 · Δ7d +0.2

Sentiment49 · Δ7d -2.0

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-11.3

Δ21d

+1.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.2

Δ21d

-0.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.0

Δ21d

-4.7

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 69.2 / Value 62.7 / Sentiment 49.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$64.33B

Beta

0.23

Shares Out

257.42M

P/E (TTM)

6.7

P/S (TTM)

0.80

P/FCF (TTM)

7.17

Rev YoY

+3.0%

EPS YoY

+339.1%

Gross Margin

Op Margin

+16.0%

Net Debt

$7B

Current Ratio

0.41

As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology