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ALL

AllstateB
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 results showed strong underwriting, policy growth, investment income, and capital returns. A Zacks summary in the packet reports 12 upward 2026 earnings estimate revisions and no downward revisions over the prior month, supporting a constructive fundamental backdrop.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Analyst target-count data is unavailable, and the packet does not provide a sufficiently direct P&C operating peer set for strong relative valuation conclusions.
Momentum
54
Value
62
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $276.27 · Bull $295.00 · Bear $225.00Analysis 2026-09-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $276.27
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d -6.1
Value62 · Δ7d -8.8
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target-count data is unavailable, and the packet does not provide a sufficiently direct P&C operating peer set for strong relative valuation conclusions.
  • • Investment-income gains may moderate if portfolio yields or performance-based returns weaken.
  • • The stock has already appreciated materially, and a recent reported analyst downgrade creates a near-term sentiment headwind.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 2026 operating results reinforce underwriting momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.1
Δ21d
-16.4
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.8
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
-3.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 54.4 / Value 62.3 / Sentiment 67.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$295.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$276.27
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$65.26B
Beta
0.23
Shares Out
252.86M
P/E (TTM)
6.7
P/S (TTM)
0.80
P/FCF (TTM)
7.17
Rev YoY
+11.8%
EPS YoY
+61.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+23.8%
Net Debt
$7B
Current Ratio
0.43
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data