B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ALKT
AlkamiCNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q1 showed 28.9% revenue growth, $22.3 million adjusted EBITDA, 22% ARR growth, and continued DSSP/MANTL expansion, supporting a durable land-retain-grow thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-29]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.2.
What can break
AI initiatives are described as prototype-stage, with commercial packaging and pricing still unresolved.
Momentum
50
Value
42
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.75 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $15.25Analysis 2026-07-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $22.00
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d -1.9
Value42 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +6.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI initiatives are described as prototype-stage, with commercial packaging and pricing still unresolved.
- • Analyst coverage, social data, options data, and insider-activity data are unavailable or sparse.
- • The deterministic prior is negative across 5-, 20-, 60-, and 120-day horizons.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-14
Q2 growth and margin pressure watch
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
50
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-30.7
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.2
Δ21d
+6.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 50.3 / Value 42.4 / Sentiment 64.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-16. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$15.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.16B
Beta
0.53
Shares Out
106.94M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-44.1
P/S (TTM)
6.03
P/FCF (TTM)
102.75
Rev YoY
+15.9%
EPS YoY
-36.6%
Gross Margin
+56.0%
Op Margin
-7.1%
Net Debt
$269.45M
Current Ratio
1.92
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data