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ALKT

AlkamiD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue, recurring-revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA support an independent-company growth case; MANTL adoption offers a measurable operating lead. The reaffirmed outlook provides a benchmark, not proof of future delivery.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
FY2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance requires continued client expansion and execution; reaffirmation does not eliminate downside risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#PR-2026-09-23]
Momentum
7
Value
44
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.00 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $11.00Analysis 2026-09-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.57
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d +7.7
Value44 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -17.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -17.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • FY2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance requires continued client expansion and execution; reaffirmation does not eliminate downside risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#PR-2026-09-23]
  • • Further analyst target reductions could pressure the shares; broader post-review estimate revisions are not established.
  • • The ended strategic review removes a potential takeover premium just as gross margin remains below its year-earlier level.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Repricing after strategic review

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.7
Δ21d
+6.4
Value
44
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.0
Δ21d
-23.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 7.2 / Value 43.8 / Sentiment 47.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.71B
Beta
0.53
Shares Out
106.94M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-35.0
P/S (TTM)
6.03
P/FCF (TTM)
102.75
Rev YoY
+15.9%
EPS YoY
-36.6%
Gross Margin
+56.0%
Op Margin
-7.1%
Net Debt
$269.45M
Current Ratio
1.92
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data