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ALGT

Allegiant TravelC
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 adjusted diluted EPS was $2.19, up 78% year over year, while record revenue, 24.6% standalone unit-revenue growth, and a 9.0% adjusted operating margin support the case for durable operating improvement. Full-year combined-company adjusted EPS guidance was introduced at more than $6.00, with additional upside possible from Sun Country synergies.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -23.9.
What can break
Analyst coverage, consensus detail, and post-earnings market-reaction evidence are incomplete.
Momentum
3
Value
49
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $80.00 · Bull $101.00 · Bear $57.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $132.43
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d -1.5
Value49 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -23.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -23.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst coverage, consensus detail, and post-earnings market-reaction evidence are incomplete.
  • • Capacity trimming or weaker leisure demand could reduce revenue growth.
  • • The consolidated result still included a $0.21 GAAP loss per share and $66 million of airline special charges.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-03

Q3 unit-revenue delivery

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-14.8
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.7
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-23.9
Δ21d
-22.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 3.1 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 67.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$101.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.3B
Beta
1.63
Shares Out
27.34M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-34.0
P/S (TTM)
0.65
P/FCF (TTM)
192.84
Rev YoY
+36.9%
EPS YoY
-94.1%
Gross Margin
+12.7%
Op Margin
+8.6%
Net Debt
$1.04B
Current Ratio
0.83
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data