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ALG

Alamo GroupA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed solid sales growth, adjusted earnings improvement, strong Industrial Equipment performance, and meaningful acquisition contribution. Liquidity supports continued investment and capital returns.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.7.
What can break
An officer reported an open-market sale of 2,715 shares at $164.408; this is an insider-activity signal only and not evidence about operating performance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-14].
Momentum
69
Value
68
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $185.00 · Bull $210.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $203.50
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +4.2
Value68 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -3.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • An officer reported an open-market sale of 2,715 shares at $164.408; this is an insider-activity signal only and not evidence about operating performance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-14].
  • • Analyst revision data, options positioning, short interest, social sentiment, and employee sentiment are unavailable.
  • • Mixed end markets, nearly flat GAAP EPS, margin pressure, integration costs, and below-1.0x book-to-bill ratios cited in secondary earnings coverage could limit near-term upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Q2 earnings and industrial execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
+32.5
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
-18.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 69.1 / Value 68.1 / Sentiment 70.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.97B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
12.17M
P/E (TTM)
18.9
P/S (TTM)
1.37
P/FCF (TTM)
16.22
Rev YoY
+7.6%
EPS YoY
-0.9%
Gross Margin
+23.1%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
-$89.37M
Current Ratio
4.39
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data