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ALG

Alamo GroupA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Industrial Equipment growth, Petersen's contribution and available liquidity could support higher earnings if margins hold and portfolio actions reduce drag [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
Mixed end markets and weak Vegetation Management growth could offset Industrial Equipment gains [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
Momentum
40
Value
68
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $159.00 · Bull $183.00 · Bear $119.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $203.50
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d -8.7
Value68 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Mixed end markets and weak Vegetation Management growth could offset Industrial Equipment gains [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
  • • Petersen's contribution is not separated sufficiently to establish its sustainable earnings return [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].
  • • Vegetation Management was nearly flat in Q2, end markets were mixed, and the Dixie Chopper exit introduces a material near-term charge with possible additional costs [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03] [#8-K-2026-09-30].

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

Dixie Chopper exit charges

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.7
Δ21d
-35.9
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-0.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 39.8 / Value 68.0 / Sentiment 63.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$183.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$159.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$119.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.78B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
12.17M
P/E (TTM)
18.9
P/S (TTM)
1.37
P/FCF (TTM)
16.22
Rev YoY
+7.6%
EPS YoY
-0.9%
Gross Margin
+23.1%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
-$89.37M
Current Ratio
4.39
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data