B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.24
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
AKR
Acadia Realty TrustBNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
AKR achieves a multiple expansion driven by successful capital recycling, above-trend rent resets in key properties, and stable occupancy, delivering meaningful AFFO growth and allowing distributions to be maintained or grown.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
What can break
Cap‑rate expansion on retail assets
Momentum
30
Value
56
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $21.97 · Bull $28.24 · Bear $17.78Analysis 2025-12-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.43
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +3.3
Value56 · Δ7d -
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cap‑rate expansion on retail assets
- • Execution risk on disposition/reinvestment strategy
- • Macro softness compresses cap rates and slows leasing, leading to AFFO downside, higher funding costs, and pressure on the dividend and share price.
Catalyst clock
2026-03-30
Q4 / Full‑Year 2025 Earnings Release and Guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
-5.3
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
-11.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 29.8 / Value 55.7 / Sentiment 61.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$21.97
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.78
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.62B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
137.33M
P/E (TTM)
165.1
P/S (TTM)
6.80
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-33.73
Rev YoY
-5.1%
EPS YoY
+312.1%
Gross Margin
+31.7%
Op Margin
+19.4%
Net Debt
$1.96B
Current Ratio
1.29
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data