B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AIN
Albany InternationalBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports a real operating rebound: Q1 revenue growth, March momentum, and Engineered Composites volume strength suggest the profitable-growth reset is gaining traction [#SEC-8K-2026-04-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.3.
What can break
Aerospace program negotiations and advanced-composites opportunities may slip, especially in commercial aerospace, defense, or AAM end markets [#SEC-8K-2026-02-24].
Momentum
17
Value
46
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $78.00 · Bear $56.00Analysis 2026-06-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $65.67
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d +4.1
Value46 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -12.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Aerospace program negotiations and advanced-composites opportunities may slip, especially in commercial aerospace, defense, or AAM end markets [#SEC-8K-2026-02-24].
- • Machine Clothing demand softness in Asia could offset recovery from the earlier equipment failure.
- • The same release also showed lower year-over-year EPS and adjusted EBITDA, with Machine Clothing softness in Asia and prior equipment-related disruption still visible; this keeps the story in monitoring mode rather than clean breakout mode [#SEC-8K-2026-04-30].
Catalyst clock
2026-09-22
Structures assembly strategic review could sharpen aerospace mix
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
-10.8
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-3.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.3
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 16.7 / Value 46.4 / Sentiment 75.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.81B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
28.4M
P/E (TTM)
24.1
P/S (TTM)
1.35
P/FCF (TTM)
27.54
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+99.6%
Gross Margin
+21.1%
Op Margin
-0.9%
Net Debt
$355.01M
Current Ratio
2.24
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data