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AIG

American International GroupB
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
AIG combines premium growth, improved underwriting profitability, capital returns, and strategic simplification after selling its remaining Corebridge interest. The $88.75 median analyst target implies roughly 13% upside from the $78.78 anchor price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Actual reported EPS and revenue versus consensus are unavailable, so no verified earnings beat or miss can be stated.
Momentum
25
Value
55
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $88.75 · Bull $96.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $88.70
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -0.6
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +9.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Actual reported EPS and revenue versus consensus are unavailable, so no verified earnings beat or miss can be stated.
  • • Insurance pricing is becoming more selective, increasing underwriting and growth-execution risk.
  • • The company described the market as shifting toward selective pricing, which may reduce the ease of future growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Post-earnings expectation reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-8.0
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
+4.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 25.2 / Value 54.6 / Sentiment 74.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$88.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$39.64B
Beta
0.62
Shares Out
522.89M
P/E (TTM)
15.1
P/S (TTM)
1.66
P/FCF (TTM)
23.84
Rev YoY
-0.1%
EPS YoY
-10.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+16.9%
Net Debt
$8.7B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data