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AGX

ArganC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal Q2 revenue reached $384.0 million, diluted EPS $3.76, and Power revenue $301 million with a 22% gross margin. Continued execution on projects not yet at peak construction, facility completion, and a debt-free balance sheet could support upside [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -20.9.
What can break
Fabrication-facility completion, utilization, and ValCor integration remain unproven forward drivers [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
Momentum
8
Value
57
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $350.00 · Bull $420.00 · Bear $245.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $570.50
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d -1.7
Value57 · Δ7d +0.9
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -20.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -20.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fabrication-facility completion, utilization, and ValCor integration remain unproven forward drivers [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
  • • Project backlog fell from $2.929 billion at January 31 to $2.518 billion at July 31, 2026 [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
  • • Backlog declined $411 million from January to July 2026.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-09

Higher quarterly dividend

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+1.3
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-20.9
Δ21d
-15.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 8.4 / Value 56.5 / Sentiment 59.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$420.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$245.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$4.62B
Beta
0.63
Shares Out
14.03M
P/E (TTM)
40.0
P/S (TTM)
5.15
P/FCF (TTM)
18.07
Rev YoY
+50.2%
EPS YoY
+103.1%
Gross Margin
+20.7%
Op Margin
+14.9%
Net Debt
-$888.59M
Current Ratio
1.53
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data