B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AGNT
AGNTBNasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The best near-term bull read is that management paired a modest Q1 operating improvement with explicit Q2 and full-year 2026 guidance, while cash remained positive and the company funded the NextHome acquisition with cash on hand and zero debt per the earnings release.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Agent Net Promoter Score declined to 67 from 78, still positive but directionally weaker for an agent-centric model. [#10-Q-2026-05-11]
Momentum
11
Value
65
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.50 · Bull $8.25 · Bear $4.75Analysis 2026-05-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.38
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -7.3
Value65 · Δ7d -
Sentiment74 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Agent Net Promoter Score declined to 67 from 78, still positive but directionally weaker for an agent-centric model. [#10-Q-2026-05-11]
- • Gross profit fell to $75.3 million from $76.1 million even as revenue rose, suggesting limited conversion of higher sales into better unit economics. [#8-K-2026-05-11]
- • The bearish read is that gross profit fell year over year despite revenue growth, adjusted operating cash flow weakened, agent satisfaction slipped, and the market still marked the shares lower immediately after earnings, implying skepticism about the durability of the margin and integration story.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-11
Q1 results and 2026 outlook reset the near-term setup [#8-K-2026-05-11]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.3
Δ21d
+4.8
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 10.8 / Value 64.8 / Sentiment 73.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-12. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$710.25M
Beta
2.11
Shares Out
167.12M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-29.4
P/S (TTM)
0.31
P/FCF (TTM)
18.81
Rev YoY
+10.7%
EPS YoY
+10.2%
Gross Margin
+6.8%
Op Margin
-0.2%
Net Debt
-$178.79M
Current Ratio
1.52
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data