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AGNT

AGNTB
Nasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 11% year over year to approximately $1.4 billion, transactions rose 12%, and adjusted EBITDA more than doubled. Continued agent productivity and successful NextHome integration could improve profitability.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
A 10% owner reported an 8.69 million-share open-market sale on September 3; this is an ownership and potential supply signal, not evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-08]
Momentum
28
Value
65
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.30 · Bull $5.50 · Bear $2.90Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.00
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d -5.4
Value65 · Δ7d -
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -11.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A 10% owner reported an 8.69 million-share open-market sale on September 3; this is an ownership and potential supply signal, not evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-08]
  • • Agent satisfaction declined year over year, potentially challenging retention or recruiting if sustained. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • AGNT still reported a $2.7 million Q2 net loss, agent satisfaction fell to an aNPS of 69 from 77, and integration benefits remain early.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

CEO succession and execution

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
28
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
+5.5
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.3
Δ21d
-41.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 28.0 / Value 64.8 / Sentiment 51.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$691.87M
Beta
2.11
Shares Out
167.12M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-28.6
P/S (TTM)
0.31
P/FCF (TTM)
18.81
Rev YoY
+10.7%
EPS YoY
+10.2%
Gross Margin
+6.8%
Op Margin
-0.2%
Net Debt
-$178.79M
Current Ratio
1.52
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data